London, ON Set for a 50% Population Surge: What This Means for the Future

Oct 04, 2024, 1:31 PM
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London, Ontario is gearing up for a wild ride over the next 25 years, with forecasts predicting a whopping 50% population increase. This jaw-dropping growth projection comes from Queen's Park and positions London at the forefront of Southwestern Ontario's booming expansion.

The Ministry of Finance's latest estimates predict that Southwestern Ontario will grow from 1.86 million residents to a staggering 2.63 million by 2051. That's more than a 40% hike, with London and Middlesex County alone seeing growth of 56.7%, reaching around 880,000 people by the same year.

What's behind this population explosion? Several factors are in play. One of the main drivers is London's relative affordability compared to the typically pricy Greater Toronto Area (GTA). As the GTA grows tougher on wallets, many are looking elsewhere, giving London a significant spillover population boost.

But that's not all. Immigration is another key player in this scenario. The province estimates that a whopping 97% of its population growth will stem from international migration and people moving from other parts of Canada.

Moreover, London's educational institutions like Fanshawe College and Western University invite thousands of international students annually. Couple that with heavy hitters like Amazon and the new Volkswagen battery plant setting roots near St. Thomas, and you’ve got a region on the up and up both economically and demographically.

Of course, with great growth comes great responsibility—or rather, challenges. London is already battling a housing affordability crisis, driven by this rapid population surge and a shortage of housing options. The silver lining is that these projections expect a slowdown in growth to give municipalities a chance to catch up before an acceleration in 2029.

Local demographer Don Kerr of Western University’s King’s University College suggests that London's historical growth rate was well under 1% until quite recently, making this current scenario a remarkable, "high-growth" phenomenon.

The forecasted growth isn't just about numbers; it’s about transformation. More people mean more homes, more transit options, and essentially, a rethink of how London's infrastructure supports its community. This is a call to action for London to engage in these essential but challenging discussions about its future.

Economist Mike Moffatt emphasizes that planning for a 50% larger population will require comprehensive dialogues on housing and transport needs. With a city realizing this kind of demographic transformation, it’s safe to say the London of the future will look quite different from today.